Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 101.782508 115.468032 130.508601 148.296966 168.801716 191.744316 219.426266
2026-02-08 80.734932 98.378160 119.353120 146.250157 180.001146 221.178472 275.568365
2026-02-15 69.198484 88.819979 113.527520 147.171781 192.173140 250.822912 333.920803
2026-02-22 61.652269 82.527374 110.069809 149.468959 205.034038 281.572958 396.673865
2026-03-01 54.032639 74.874294 103.456023 146.059714 208.885637 299.596474 443.176587
2026-03-08 48.186477 68.830999 98.122298 143.407542 212.905311 317.596923 491.209524
2026-03-15 43.794777 64.301900 94.312321 142.286385 218.667311 338.348897 545.671924
2026-03-22 41.637369 62.787297 94.684483 147.372121 234.354158 376.081835 632.562472
2026-03-29 39.590366 61.188550 94.682381 151.720805 249.139595 413.839397 724.546640
2026-04-05 36.699928 57.962097 91.754961 150.879826 254.967549 436.864993 793.160366
2026-04-12 34.545698 55.707464 90.147253 152.004444 264.165118 466.635986 878.228233
2026-04-19 32.185801 52.894007 87.331771 150.689028 268.735771 488.333921 950.465909
2026-04-26 30.191247 50.702954 85.670183 151.808340 278.981764 523.994859 1061.002861
2026-05-03 27.869346 47.760115 82.465087 149.840925 283.315930 549.193390 1155.105694
2026-05-10 26.232043 45.868063 80.930933 150.803801 293.448522 587.365733 1284.398310
2026-05-17 24.951071 44.492838 80.186239 153.165728 306.641876 633.686276 1440.844819
2026-05-24 23.048187 41.793215 76.700319 149.663577 307.087779 652.474075 1535.147378
2026-05-31 21.429891 39.491131 73.759964 146.939128 308.823650 674.296539 1640.994049
2026-06-07 20.143300 37.717581 71.686503 145.787452 313.856918 704.350725 1773.801437
2026-06-14 19.644938 37.442270 72.559525 151.011846 334.012200 773.212789 2024.601617
2026-06-21 19.094119 37.011521 73.068484 155.479499 352.976354 842.090974 2290.537801
2026-06-28 18.076404 35.545345 71.294877 154.615485 358.984243 879.047626 2471.766305
2026-07-05 17.318678 34.556561 70.442416 155.770910 370.122833 931.108574 2710.240169